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Bank of Ghana continues rate cuts as inflation moderates—what it means for your wallet

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Bank of Ghana continues rate cuts as inflation moderates—what it means for your wallet

The Bank of Ghana's monetary policy stance has shifted decisively towards expansion, with the Monetary Policy Rate dropping to 14.0% in August 2026—down from 25.0% a year earlier. This dramatic 11-percentage-point cut represents the central bank's confidence in Ghana's improving macroeconomic conditions and moderating inflation, and it has immediate implications for borrowers, savers and investors across the country.

The decline in the policy rate has rippled through the financial system. The Interbank Weighted Average Rate (IWAR)—the rate at which banks lend to each other—fell to 10.2% from 23.3% in August 2025. More importantly for ordinary Ghanaians, average lending rates offered by commercial banks eased to 15.9% from 24.2%, meaning cheaper loans for business expansion, home mortgages and consumer credit are becoming available.

What's driving the rate cuts?

The central bank's easing cycle reflects two key developments. First, inflation has moderated significantly from its elevated levels of recent years, reducing pressure on prices and the need to keep rates high to combat rising costs. Second, Ghana's macroeconomic fundamentals have strengthened—foreign exchange pressures have eased, and government finances have stabilised following the country's successful completion of its International Monetary Fund programme in 2024.

These improvements mean the BoG can afford to make credit cheaper without fuelling runaway inflation. Real interest rates—the rate adjusted for inflation—remain positive, indicating that savers and lenders are still adequately compensated for inflation risk.

Government borrowing costs fall sharply

The Treasury bill market has seen the most dramatic changes. Short-term government securities—91-day, 182-day and 364-day bills—have declined sharply to 5.4%, 7.3% and 12.2% respectively, compared with double-digit rates a year earlier. This reflects strong investor appetite for government debt and improved confidence in Ghana's fiscal trajectory.

However, longer-dated government bonds (2-year to 20-year maturities) have remained relatively stable due to thin trading volumes in that segment. This suggests investors remain cautious about Ghana's medium- to long-term debt outlook, even as confidence in near-term stability improves.

Why it matters for Ghana

Lower interest rates have several consequences for Ghanaians. Businesses can now borrow more cheaply to invest and expand, potentially creating jobs and spurring growth. Mortgage seekers face reduced borrowing costs, though property prices themselves remain a barrier to home ownership. Savers, conversely, earn less on deposits and fixed-income investments—a trade-off for economic growth.

For government, cheaper borrowing costs reduce the fiscal burden of servicing public debt, freeing resources for investment in healthcare, education and infrastructure. This is critical as Ghana works to consolidate its IMF programme gains and stabilise public finances.

The sustained easing cycle also signals that the BoG expects inflation to remain under control. If inflation begins to creep up again, however, the central bank could pause or reverse course, potentially shocking markets and disrupting borrowing plans. Businesses and households should monitor inflation data closely.

The contrast between falling short-term rates and stable long-term rates reveals an important truth: while near-term confidence in Ghana's economy is strong, investors remain uncertain about the sustainability of these gains over longer horizons. The government's continued fiscal discipline and inflation management will be crucial to changing that calculus.

Source: MyJoyOnline

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